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Northern lights forecast

How strong the aurora is right now, what the next three days bring and where in Europe it can be seen tonight with a dark and clear sky.

Activity now

Kp index1.0 low activityValue for 18:00–21:00

Quiet conditions: the aurora is possible mainly in the far north – in northern Norway, Sweden and Finland and in Iceland.

Where in Europe tonight

Highest Kp forecast for tonight: 3.0 (moderate activity).

With a dark and clear sky, the aurora is possible tonight in these towns:

Whether the sky will be clear is shown on each town’s weather page; for places in Norway, Iceland, Finland and Sweden the page already combines the Kp with the cloud forecast for the night.

3-day Kp forecast

Wednesday 4 Novmax 3.3
  1. 2.300
  2. 2.703
  3. 3.306
  4. 2.309
  5. 3.012
  6. 1.015
  7. 1.018
  8. 1.321
Thursday 5 Novmax 3.7
  1. 2.700
  2. 3.003
  3. 3.706
  4. 2.709
  5. 2.712
  6. 1.715
  7. 1.718
  8. 2.721
Friday 6 Novmax 2.3
  1. 2.300
  2. 1.703
  3. 2.006
  4. 2.309
  5. 2.312
  6. 2.315
  7. 2.318
  8. 2.321

Values for three-hour periods, times in UK time.

What the Kp index means

The Kp index measures how strongly the Earth’s magnetic field is disturbed by the solar wind, on a scale from 0 to 9. The higher the Kp, the further south the aurora reaches.

At Kp 0 to 2 the aurora stays over the far north of Europe. From Kp 5 on, NOAA speaks of a geomagnetic storm, and the aurora can then be seen much further south than usual.

The Kp only tells you whether the aurora can reach your latitude. You also need a dark night and a clear sky, so check the cloud forecast as well.

KpActivityPossible in (examples)
0–2low activityTrondheim Oulu Reykjavík Umeå
3–4moderate activityStockholm Oslo Helsinki Glasgow Hjørring Letterkenny
5–6geomagnetic stormLondon Hamburg Amsterdam København Dublin Rīga
7–9strong geomagnetic stormBerlin Paris Warszawa Praha Bruxelles Rotterdam

How to improve your chances

  • Go away from town lights to a place with a clear view to the north.
  • Watch the sky from late evening until after midnight, when the aurora is usually strongest.
  • Give your eyes 15 to 20 minutes to adjust to the dark; a phone camera often shows more colour than the eye.
  • A bright moon and haze weaken the view; a clear, moonless night is best.

Data source: Space Weather Prediction Center of the US agency NOAA.